According to @DowdEdward, U.S. inflation is decelerating while a recession is brewing, layoffs are starting, and the credit cycle is rolling over, setting up a near-term deflation scare; source: @DowdEdward on X, Nov 7, 2025. He adds that even if deflation pressures emerge, price levels are unlikely to return to pre-Covid baselines, implying ongoing consumer and margin pressure; source: @DowdEdward on X, Nov 7, 2025. For traders, this framework elevates layoff trends and credit stress as key catalysts for risk assets and crypto volatility into 2025; source: @DowdEdward on X, Nov 7, 2025.